Producer Paul’s Picks: Wild Card Playoffs

Producer Paul’s Picks: Wild Card Playoffs
January 4, 2014, 8:00 am
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November 25, 2012; New Orleans, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) throws against the San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter of a game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

(Derick E. Hingle-US PRESSWIRE)

Chiefs +2 at Colts
Impressively, the Colts beat the top two playoff seeds in each conference - the Seahawks and Broncos – as well as the 49ers. However, all those wins came before their bye week in Week 8.

Sure, Indy won four of its last five down the stretch, but three of those wins came against its not so stalwart divisional foes.

I can’t help but think Andy Reid held more than just a little something back in Week 16 when the Colts held the Chiefs scoreless in the final 56 minutes of that game. I’m pretty sure I said earlier this season KC would make an early exit, but not here.

Saints +3 at Eagles
Man, remember when Sheldon Brown absolutely destroyed Reggie Bush? Dear God, that was awwwwwesome. And a completely clean hit, even though a flag would absolutely get thrown today. We were watching that game at Chuck’s up in Syracuse and I absolutely jumped out of my chair (along with half the bar) and thought there was no way in hell the Eagles were losing that game. They did. And Reggie scored a touchdown later in the game (I’m gonna guess he would not have passed his baseline test). So the Eagles owe the Saints.

But my gut is telling me New Orleans wins. If it were inside, there would be no doubt in my mind the Saints beat the Eagles. But Philadelphia is getting hit with snow, the Saints are terrible outside, Pierre Thomas is out, and Drew Brees has never won a road playoff game. After living and breathing high school football all Fall, I do have a new found appreciation for the Westlake High School angle with Brees and Nick Foles, but not so much their nickname: the Chaparrals. Yea, that’s their real name. No, no, I don’t know what it means either but looks like perhaps a shrub according to Wikipedia.

I remember going into that 2006 game feeling like it would be a huge upset if the Eagles won. This game is a complete coin flip.

Bengals -7 vs. Chargers
I hate this pick. Hate, hate, hate. To the point that I had to go the ‘if my life depended on it’ route. If my life depended on it I can’t pick the Chargers. They could be losing by 20 by halftime and I would be digging my own grave. But I trust Andy Dalton as much as Ace Rothstein should have trusted Sharon Stone in Casino. There is no good pick here. Come to think of it, I should play a one-man game of beer hunter to figure it out.

Packers +3 vs. 49ers
When the Packers are having trouble selling out a home playoff game, something is seriously wrong with the system. We have to rule out the Aaron Rodgers revenge route by now because he’s had two chances (last year’s playoffs and this year’s opening week) and he hasn’t gotten it done. Or maybe now he’s like the villain you can’t kill that keeps coming back and now it’s a triple-revenge game? The Clay Matthews loss is huge, (it’s just a thumb! Rub some dirt on it and throw a cast on!) but Green Bay is playing with house money. I’m sticking to my guns that the Packers are the most dangerous team in the NFC and they show why Sunday.

Speaking of heading into the playoffs on a tear – best week of the season last week!

Last Week: 12-4 Season: 121-115-6

Texans - Team News
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue (ankle) remained limited in Thursday's practice. Arian Foster's caddie is in no danger of missing Week 9.
Oct 30 3:41PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) returned to Texans practice Thursday, getting in a limited session. Johnson was never in any danger of missing Sunday's game against the Eagles. With six teams on bye for Week 9, Johnson is a WR1.
Oct 30 3:40PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster (knee) returned to Texans practice Thursday, getting in a limited session. The Texans are just managing their superstar back's reps. With DeMarco Murray facing the Cardinals' elite run defense, there's a case to be made for Foster as Week 9's No. 1...
Oct 30 3:39PM Read More
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue (ankle) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Blue got first-team reps with Arian Foster (knee) not practicing. The Texans also held out Andre Johnson (ankle) on Wednesday.
Oct 29 5:15PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) did not practice Wednesday. The Texans are limiting Johnson's reps for rest purposes. He didn't suffer any setbacks last week and should be fine for Sunday's game against the Eagles.
Oct 29 3:43PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster (knee) did not practice Wednesday. It's a new injury for Foster. Coming off his three-touchdown performance, it's possible the Texans are getting him some rest. Foster will be a top-three running back in Week...
Oct 29 3:18PM Read More
Zac Diles - LB
Texans signed LB Zac Diles. CB Elbert Mack was waived in a corresponding roster move. Diles' addition is a sign the Texans aren't expecting Brian Cushing (knee) back for Week 9.
Oct 28 4:04PM Read More
Garrett Graham - TE
Garrett Graham was held without a catch in the Texans' Week 8 win over Tennessee. Graham was targeted just one time on the day, a seam shot from Ryan Fitzpatrick that predictably fell incomplete. Graham has been a very minor part of the offense, making...
Oct 26 4:53PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson caught seven passes for 55 yards in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Johnson saw a team-high dozen targets. He was followed by Titans top CB Jason McCourty for much of the afternoon, leaving DeAndre Hopkins to work on sophomore Blidi...
Oct 26 4:44PM Read More
DeAndre Hopkins - WR
DeAndre Hopkins caught five passes for 95 yards in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Hopkins was targeted 11 times compared to 12 for Andre Johnson. Hopkins picked up chunk yards on all of his grabs, and was stopped at the five-yard line on one grab where...
Oct 26 4:24PM Read More
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue rushed for 42 yards on 14 carries in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Blue added a 22-yard catch. With the Texans clobbering the Titans late and Arian Foster having already piled up 173 yards and three touchdowns, Blue got plenty of run late...
Oct 26 4:11PM Read More
Ryan Fitzpatrick - QB
Ryan Fitzpatrick completed just 19-of-35 passes for 227 yards, one touchdown, and zero... Fitzpatrick was pretty bad for most of the day, begging to be picked off, but the Texans rode Arian Foster's legs to victory. Fitzpatrick's lone touchdown went to Foster on...
Oct 26 3:45PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries in the Texans' 30-16, Week 8... Foster managed just 36 yards on his first 10 carries, but broke a 34-yard touchdown and had no trouble finding holes in the Tennessee defense from there on. Foster caught a...
Oct 26 3:21PM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is active for Week 8 against the Titans. Clowney will play on a "pitch count," likely in pass-rushing and third-down situations. Good luck with Clowney and J.J. Watt, Zach Mettenberger. Inactive for the...
Oct 26 10:34AM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Texans OLB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is likely to play against the Titans, but will be on a... "I thought what he did what he had to do this week," coach Bill O’Brien said. "I think he’s got a good shot to play on Sunday." Clowney has been...
Oct 25 9:13AM Read More

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