Chiefs +2 at Colts
Impressively, the Colts beat the top two playoff seeds in each conference - the Seahawks and Broncos – as well as the 49ers. However, all those wins came before their bye week in Week 8.
Sure, Indy won four of its last five down the stretch, but three of those wins came against its not so stalwart divisional foes.
I can’t help but think Andy Reid held more than just a little something back in Week 16 when the Colts held the Chiefs scoreless in the final 56 minutes of that game. I’m pretty sure I said earlier this season KC would make an early exit, but not here.
Saints +3 at Eagles
Man, remember when Sheldon Brown absolutely destroyed Reggie Bush? Dear God, that was awwwwwesome. And a completely clean hit, even though a flag would absolutely get thrown today. We were watching that game at Chuck’s up in Syracuse and I absolutely jumped out of my chair (along with half the bar) and thought there was no way in hell the Eagles were losing that game. They did. And Reggie scored a touchdown later in the game (I’m gonna guess he would not have passed his baseline test). So the Eagles owe the Saints.
But my gut is telling me New Orleans wins. If it were inside, there would be no doubt in my mind the Saints beat the Eagles. But Philadelphia is getting hit with snow, the Saints are terrible outside, Pierre Thomas is out, and Drew Brees has never won a road playoff game. After living and breathing high school football all Fall, I do have a new found appreciation for the Westlake High School angle with Brees and Nick Foles, but not so much their nickname: the Chaparrals. Yea, that’s their real name. No, no, I don’t know what it means either but looks like perhaps a shrub according to Wikipedia.
I remember going into that 2006 game feeling like it would be a huge upset if the Eagles won. This game is a complete coin flip.
Bengals -7 vs. Chargers
I hate this pick. Hate, hate, hate. To the point that I had to go the ‘if my life depended on it’ route. If my life depended on it I can’t pick the Chargers. They could be losing by 20 by halftime and I would be digging my own grave. But I trust Andy Dalton as much as Ace Rothstein should have trusted Sharon Stone in Casino. There is no good pick here. Come to think of it, I should play a one-man game of beer hunter to figure it out.
Packers +3 vs. 49ers
When the Packers are having trouble selling out a home playoff game, something is seriously wrong with the system. We have to rule out the Aaron Rodgers revenge route by now because he’s had two chances (last year’s playoffs and this year’s opening week) and he hasn’t gotten it done. Or maybe now he’s like the villain you can’t kill that keeps coming back and now it’s a triple-revenge game? The Clay Matthews loss is huge, (it’s just a thumb! Rub some dirt on it and throw a cast on!) but Green Bay is playing with house money. I’m sticking to my guns that the Packers are the most dangerous team in the NFC and they show why Sunday.
Speaking of heading into the playoffs on a tear – best week of the season last week!
Last Week: 12-4 Season: 121-115-6
Chiefs +2 at Colts