Producer Paul’s Picks: NFL Week 7

Producer Paul’s Picks: NFL Week 7
October 19, 2013, 6:00 pm
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You got your wish Houston: Let’s go Keenum Krazy!

With Matt Schaub sidelined, it is really the only decision to make. Gary Kubiak talked about a spark, Andre Johnson talked about Keenum’s aura, Duane Brown talked about the second year-QB’s arm and T.J. Yates talked about his surprise.

Unfortunately for Yates, he’s a poor man’s Schaub.

Kliff Kingsbury, the head coach of 6-0 Texas Tech and Keenum’s QB coach and offensive coordinator joined SportsTalk Live Thursday to talk about what his former pupil brings to the table.

“The biggest thing is his ability to extend the play. He has some of best feet I've ever seen,” Kingsbury said. “He’s one of those guys that has eyes in back of his head in the pocket and that’s big facing a defense that likes to pressure. He’s a guy the locker room will rally around. I wouldn’t be surprised if he went out against good defense and put on a pretty good show."

Naturally, Texans fans are expecting someone who has yet to take his first NFL snap to set the world on fire against the Chiefs. I’m expecting something more like this:

16-28, 187 YDS, TD, INT and….(wait for it)…a Texans win.

As great as the Chiefs pass rush and defensive playmakers have been (30 sacks, 18 takeaways), they are susceptible to the run (116 ypg).

The Texans should run the ball 45-50 times, and let’s face it: the Houston defense is overdue for a game where they force three turnovers, and Alex Smith – who hasn’t been great – gift wraps at least one touchdown.

Picks in bold:

Texans +7 at Chiefs
On a side note, I have been searching for “Case Keenum pick-6 prop bet” to no avail. If nothing else, I say the Texans hit the QB pick-6 trifecta Sunday (Eric Berry c’mon down). And Houston still wins.

Falcons –7 vs. Bucs
The Falcons have a chance to come storming out of the bye against the Bucs, Cardinals and Panthers before hosting the Seahawks. I say they do.

Eagles -2.5 vs. Cowboys
If Nick Foles beats Dallas and New York at home the next two weeks, it would be hard to imagine that Michael Vick ever gets his job back.

49ers -4 at Titans
I don’t know why I have a feeling that the 49ers are going to struggle in this game – so I’m going to ignore it.

Patriots -4 at Jets
The ‘Rob Ryan face’ has to be in the running for shot of the year. But I do feel for the guy, how many times in three minutes does his defense have to stop Tom Brady? All of a sudden Drew Brees, Sean Payton & company go into gutless mode and, well, yea. No brotherly revenge here.

Bills +9.5 at Dolphins
The Dolphins get caught looking ahead to New England next week, but recover in time to pull out the W.

Jaguars +9 vs. Chargers
I feel like a lot of people are picking this, but all the elements are there for the Jags to get their first (only?) W.

Bears -1 at Redskins
And the Bears head into the bye 5-2. Just like they started the season 7-1 last year.

Packers -10 vs. Browns
The Packers have to be calling the Giants about Hakeem Nicks right? The guy finished back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons just two years ago. Randall Cobb is out, James Jones is banged up. If I’m Aaron Rodgers, I’m badgering Ted Thompson about this. I’m also throwing the ball to Jarrett Boykin 12 times this week and seeing how many he drops to further prove my point.

Panthers -6.5 vs. Rams
I didn’t feel good about laying any number higher than -.5 with the Panthers until I saw that the Rams have the Seahawks at home next week on Monday Night Football. Couple that with a big win in Houston: Have a day, Luke Keuchly.

Steelers -1 vs. Ravens
If the NFC East is the ugliest girl at the dance, the AFC North is ‘dark bar hot.’ You’re in for a rude awakening when the lights come on in the playoffs.

Lions -3 vs. Bengals
“So are we going back to my”— (Lights come on) – “Oh. My….uh…man, I really should not have had that last shot of Rumple Minze.”

Broncos -7 at Colts
Jim Irsay knows as well as anyone that Peyton Manning has been preparing for this game from the moment he left Indy. Why not mess with him a little this week? I know, I know – “you don’t want to make Peyton angry…You WONT LIKE HIM WHEN HE’S ANGRY!!” It doesn’t matter. If Peyton loses this game, than maybe it was Oct. 21,, 2013 that the Mayans were talking about.

Vikings +3.5 at Giants
A Cowboys fan said to me this week: “This would be just like the Giants: dead in the water, Coughlin all but fired, Eli looks terrible – and then they roll off 9 out of 10 wins and are right in the mix at the end in a lousy division.” Fair. But No.

Last Week: 10-4-0. Season: 45-39-2

Texans - Team News
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue (ankle) remained limited in Thursday's practice. Arian Foster's caddie is in no danger of missing Week 9.
Oct 30 3:41PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) returned to Texans practice Thursday, getting in a limited session. Johnson was never in any danger of missing Sunday's game against the Eagles. With six teams on bye for Week 9, Johnson is a WR1.
Oct 30 3:40PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster (knee) returned to Texans practice Thursday, getting in a limited session. The Texans are just managing their superstar back's reps. With DeMarco Murray facing the Cardinals' elite run defense, there's a case to be made for Foster as Week 9's No. 1...
Oct 30 3:39PM Read More
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue (ankle) was limited in Wednesday's practice. Blue got first-team reps with Arian Foster (knee) not practicing. The Texans also held out Andre Johnson (ankle) on Wednesday.
Oct 29 5:15PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) did not practice Wednesday. The Texans are limiting Johnson's reps for rest purposes. He didn't suffer any setbacks last week and should be fine for Sunday's game against the Eagles.
Oct 29 3:43PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster (knee) did not practice Wednesday. It's a new injury for Foster. Coming off his three-touchdown performance, it's possible the Texans are getting him some rest. Foster will be a top-three running back in Week...
Oct 29 3:18PM Read More
Zac Diles - LB
Texans signed LB Zac Diles. CB Elbert Mack was waived in a corresponding roster move. Diles' addition is a sign the Texans aren't expecting Brian Cushing (knee) back for Week 9.
Oct 28 4:04PM Read More
Garrett Graham - TE
Garrett Graham was held without a catch in the Texans' Week 8 win over Tennessee. Graham was targeted just one time on the day, a seam shot from Ryan Fitzpatrick that predictably fell incomplete. Graham has been a very minor part of the offense, making...
Oct 26 4:53PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson caught seven passes for 55 yards in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Johnson saw a team-high dozen targets. He was followed by Titans top CB Jason McCourty for much of the afternoon, leaving DeAndre Hopkins to work on sophomore Blidi...
Oct 26 4:44PM Read More
DeAndre Hopkins - WR
DeAndre Hopkins caught five passes for 95 yards in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Hopkins was targeted 11 times compared to 12 for Andre Johnson. Hopkins picked up chunk yards on all of his grabs, and was stopped at the five-yard line on one grab where...
Oct 26 4:24PM Read More
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue rushed for 42 yards on 14 carries in the Texans' Week 8 win over the Titans. Blue added a 22-yard catch. With the Texans clobbering the Titans late and Arian Foster having already piled up 173 yards and three touchdowns, Blue got plenty of run late...
Oct 26 4:11PM Read More
Ryan Fitzpatrick - QB
Ryan Fitzpatrick completed just 19-of-35 passes for 227 yards, one touchdown, and zero... Fitzpatrick was pretty bad for most of the day, begging to be picked off, but the Texans rode Arian Foster's legs to victory. Fitzpatrick's lone touchdown went to Foster on...
Oct 26 3:45PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster rushed for 151 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries in the Texans' 30-16, Week 8... Foster managed just 36 yards on his first 10 carries, but broke a 34-yard touchdown and had no trouble finding holes in the Tennessee defense from there on. Foster caught a...
Oct 26 3:21PM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is active for Week 8 against the Titans. Clowney will play on a "pitch count," likely in pass-rushing and third-down situations. Good luck with Clowney and J.J. Watt, Zach Mettenberger. Inactive for the...
Oct 26 10:34AM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Texans OLB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is likely to play against the Titans, but will be on a... "I thought what he did what he had to do this week," coach Bill O’Brien said. "I think he’s got a good shot to play on Sunday." Clowney has been...
Oct 25 9:13AM Read More

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