Producer Paul’s Picks: NFL Week 7

Producer Paul’s Picks: NFL Week 7
October 19, 2013, 6:00 pm
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You got your wish Houston: Let’s go Keenum Krazy!

With Matt Schaub sidelined, it is really the only decision to make. Gary Kubiak talked about a spark, Andre Johnson talked about Keenum’s aura, Duane Brown talked about the second year-QB’s arm and T.J. Yates talked about his surprise.

Unfortunately for Yates, he’s a poor man’s Schaub.

Kliff Kingsbury, the head coach of 6-0 Texas Tech and Keenum’s QB coach and offensive coordinator joined SportsTalk Live Thursday to talk about what his former pupil brings to the table.

“The biggest thing is his ability to extend the play. He has some of best feet I've ever seen,” Kingsbury said. “He’s one of those guys that has eyes in back of his head in the pocket and that’s big facing a defense that likes to pressure. He’s a guy the locker room will rally around. I wouldn’t be surprised if he went out against good defense and put on a pretty good show."

Naturally, Texans fans are expecting someone who has yet to take his first NFL snap to set the world on fire against the Chiefs. I’m expecting something more like this:

16-28, 187 YDS, TD, INT and….(wait for it)…a Texans win.

As great as the Chiefs pass rush and defensive playmakers have been (30 sacks, 18 takeaways), they are susceptible to the run (116 ypg).

The Texans should run the ball 45-50 times, and let’s face it: the Houston defense is overdue for a game where they force three turnovers, and Alex Smith – who hasn’t been great – gift wraps at least one touchdown.

Picks in bold:

Texans +7 at Chiefs
On a side note, I have been searching for “Case Keenum pick-6 prop bet” to no avail. If nothing else, I say the Texans hit the QB pick-6 trifecta Sunday (Eric Berry c’mon down). And Houston still wins.

Falcons –7 vs. Bucs
The Falcons have a chance to come storming out of the bye against the Bucs, Cardinals and Panthers before hosting the Seahawks. I say they do.

Eagles -2.5 vs. Cowboys
If Nick Foles beats Dallas and New York at home the next two weeks, it would be hard to imagine that Michael Vick ever gets his job back.

49ers -4 at Titans
I don’t know why I have a feeling that the 49ers are going to struggle in this game – so I’m going to ignore it.

Patriots -4 at Jets
The ‘Rob Ryan face’ has to be in the running for shot of the year. But I do feel for the guy, how many times in three minutes does his defense have to stop Tom Brady? All of a sudden Drew Brees, Sean Payton & company go into gutless mode and, well, yea. No brotherly revenge here.

Bills +9.5 at Dolphins
The Dolphins get caught looking ahead to New England next week, but recover in time to pull out the W.

Jaguars +9 vs. Chargers
I feel like a lot of people are picking this, but all the elements are there for the Jags to get their first (only?) W.

Bears -1 at Redskins
And the Bears head into the bye 5-2. Just like they started the season 7-1 last year.

Packers -10 vs. Browns
The Packers have to be calling the Giants about Hakeem Nicks right? The guy finished back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons just two years ago. Randall Cobb is out, James Jones is banged up. If I’m Aaron Rodgers, I’m badgering Ted Thompson about this. I’m also throwing the ball to Jarrett Boykin 12 times this week and seeing how many he drops to further prove my point.

Panthers -6.5 vs. Rams
I didn’t feel good about laying any number higher than -.5 with the Panthers until I saw that the Rams have the Seahawks at home next week on Monday Night Football. Couple that with a big win in Houston: Have a day, Luke Keuchly.

Steelers -1 vs. Ravens
If the NFC East is the ugliest girl at the dance, the AFC North is ‘dark bar hot.’ You’re in for a rude awakening when the lights come on in the playoffs.

Lions -3 vs. Bengals
“So are we going back to my”— (Lights come on) – “Oh. My….uh…man, I really should not have had that last shot of Rumple Minze.”

Broncos -7 at Colts
Jim Irsay knows as well as anyone that Peyton Manning has been preparing for this game from the moment he left Indy. Why not mess with him a little this week? I know, I know – “you don’t want to make Peyton angry…You WONT LIKE HIM WHEN HE’S ANGRY!!” It doesn’t matter. If Peyton loses this game, than maybe it was Oct. 21,, 2013 that the Mayans were talking about.

Vikings +3.5 at Giants
A Cowboys fan said to me this week: “This would be just like the Giants: dead in the water, Coughlin all but fired, Eli looks terrible – and then they roll off 9 out of 10 wins and are right in the mix at the end in a lousy division.” Fair. But No.

Last Week: 10-4-0. Season: 45-39-2

Texans - Team News
Brian Cushing - LB
Texans ILB Brian Cushing will miss at least one week with a knee injury. It's a blow to an already vulnerable Houston run defense, and a nice upgrade to Bishop Sankey's Week 8 matchup. Justin Tuggle and Mike Mohamed figure to start at inside...
Oct 22 8:32PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) was limited in Wednesday's practice. The Texans are limiting Johnson's reps coming off Monday night's loss. He'll remain a WR2 for Week 8 against the Titans.
Oct 22 5:22PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster was limited in Wednesday's practice. The Texans listed Foster as "not injury related," but he missed practice time last week with a groin issue. Foster has a matchup with the Titans' No. 22 ranked run...
Oct 22 5:15PM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
According to HoustonTexans.com, there's a "decent chance" Jadeveon Clowney (knee)... "He feels good," coach Bill O'Brien said Monday. "Well see how it goes this week in practice. We'll be able to make a determination pretty soon about whether...
Oct 21 3:58PM Read More
Garrett Graham - TE
Garrett Graham caught two passes for 24 yards in the Texans' Week 7 loss to the Steelers. Graham was targeted three times, but dropped the other. It can be considered one of Graham's better statistical games of the season, which obviously means he's nowhere near...
Oct 20 11:31PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson caught five passes for 77 yards in the Texans' Week 7 loss to the Steelers on... Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins each saw a team-high nine targets. There was nothing special about Johnson's night. His biggest play was a 24-yard grab on a deep in route in...
Oct 20 11:25PM Read More
DeAndre Hopkins - WR
DeAndre Hopkins caught six passes for 108 yards in the Texans' Week 7 loss to the Steelers on... Hopkins and Andre Johnson each saw a team-high nine targets. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw it to whichever receiver was working against embattled Steelers CB Cortez Allen. ...
Oct 20 11:16PM Read More
Alfred Blue - RB
Alfred Blue rushed for 14 yards on five carries and caught an 11-yard touchdown in the Texans'... Blue was the vulture on the opening-drive 11-yard score after Arian Foster managed 59 rushing yards to get the Texans near the goal line. Foster is an every-down back,...
Oct 20 11:09PM Read More
Ryan Fitzpatrick - QB
Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 21-of-32 passes for 262 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception... Fitzpatrick played well for much of the first half, leading the Texans on three consecutive scoring drives to open the game. It was a train wreck thereafter. One play...
Oct 20 10:56PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster rushed for 102 yards on 20 carries in the Texans' 30-23, Week 7 loss to the... Foster got off to a blazing start, rushing for 59 yards on the Texans' 94-yard opening touchdown drive, but was vultured by Alfred Blue for the 11-yard touchdown catch to...
Oct 20 10:47PM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is inactive for Monday night's Week 7 game against the Steelers. Clowney's lateral agility wasn't where the Texans wanted it to be in pre-game warmups. He's been out since undergoing knee surgery after Week 1. Whitney Mercilus is...
Oct 20 6:09PM Read More
DeAndre Hopkins - WR
DeAndre Hopkins (hand) is probable for Week 7. The Texans listed Hopkins on the injury report, but his status was never in doubt. He'll be a WR3 for Monday night against the Steelers.
Oct 18 2:54PM Read More
Arian Foster - RB
Arian Foster (groin) is probable for Monday night's game against the Steelers. Foster was limited on Thursday, but practiced in full the last two days. He should have another heavy workload against a Steelers defense that's allowing 4.4 yards per carry...
Oct 18 2:48PM Read More
Andre Johnson - WR
Andre Johnson (ankle) was upgraded to full in Saturday's practice and is listed as probable for... Johnson is good to go for Monday night's matchup with the Steelers. He's Rotoworld's No. 15 receiver this week.
Oct 18 2:39PM Read More
Jadeveon Clowney - LB
Texans OLB Jadeveon Clowney (knee) is listed as questionable for Monday night's game against... Clowney got in two limited practices this week, but said he still "can't run laterally." He could be held out in an attempt to get fully healthy for Week 8. If...
Oct 18 2:20PM Read More