There are plenty of high expectations for first-round pick DeAndre Hopkins heading into the 2013 season. There have also been plenty of projections floating around about what his stats will look like at the end of his rookie season.
With that in mind, here's a look at the past five years to see how first-round receiver have fared in their rookie seasons.
In the last five years, 15 receivers have been taken in the first round. Those 15 have averaged 42.8 receptions for 598 yards and 3.8 touchdowns in their rookie years. If we exclude A.J. Jenkins (2012) who was only active in three games and didn’t catch a pass, the numbers improve a little: 45.9, 640.7, 4.07. The best rookie season from a receiver in the last five years belongs to A.J. Green, who caught 65 passes for 1,057 yards and seven touchdowns.
Hopkins was the 27th pick in the 2013 draft. In the last five years, three receivers have been taken with the 27th pick or lower in the first round. Jenkins was one and he barely played. Hakeem Nicks (29) and Kenny Britt (30) in 2009 are the other two. Nicks caught 47 balls for 790 yards and six touchdowns. Britt caught 42 passes for 701 yards and three touchdowns.
None of this should mean much to Hopkins. He’s a different player with a good skill set and appeared to be one of the more NFL-ready receivers coming out of college. But these numbers do serve as a reminder that it’s hard for a rookie receiver to put up great stats.
Here’s a look at the last five seasons:
|5||Justin Blackmon||Jaguars||Oklahoma State||64||865||5|
|13||Michael Floyd||Cardinals||Notre Dame||45||562||2|
|22||Demaryius Thomas||Broncos||Georgia Tech||22||283||2|
|24||Dez Bryant||Cowboys||Oklahoma State||45||561||6|
|10||Michael Crabtree||49ers||Texas Tech||48||625||2|
|29||Hakeem Nicks||Giants||North Carolina||47||790||6|
|None in 1st round|